GloFAS to collaborate with RIMES on flood forecasting

RIMES, the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Asia and Africa, look to provide early warning services for enhanced preparedness, response, and mitigation of natural hazards, according to the different needs of its Member States. One aspect of this is flood forecasting, in particular for flood events that occur across country borders. Cross-border rivers in Asia include the Ganges, Brahmaputra, Meghna, Indus and Mekong rivers, and there is an urgent need to build capabilities for the forecasting of transboundary flood events.

GloFAS has the potential for use in forecasting such events, and recent discussions between ECMWF and RIMES have led to collaboration on flood forecasting. Moving forward, GloFAS and RIMES will work together to continue improving GloFAS forecasts and work towards integrating GloFAS into the existing national and regional forecasting capabilities in countries across the region. RIMES has recently been evaluating GloFAS forecast skill in two river basins in Nepal and Myanmar; this evaluation can be seen under the case studies section of this site (http://globalfloods.jrc.ec.europa.eu/case-studies/case-study-myanmar-nepal). Going forward, RIMES will expand the evaluation to cover river basins in each country they are working with. ECMWF will provide RIMES with past GloFAS forecasts for evaluation and, on the basis of the results, real-time forecast data - alongside working to calibrate and improve GloFAS.

ECMWF and RIMES are excited to continue collaborating to further improve forecast and early warning capabilities for transboundary flood events across the region.

The full article on this collaboration is available in the ECMWF Winter
2016/17 Newsletter Article, page 8:
http://www.ecmwf.int/sites/default/files/elibrary/2017/16987-newsletter-no-150-winter-201617.pdf


By Rebecca Emerton     Jan. 23, 2017, 11:36 a.m.